Complex Systems and Predictability
"The SP500 dropped 30 points because of X or Y". Sometimes, things are indeed that clear - COVID, 2008 Housing market collapse, etc....
"The SP500 dropped 30 points because of X or Y". Sometimes, things are indeed that clear - COVID, 2008 Housing market collapse, etc....
I expected to land around a 20% return. I carefully track my MoM and annual performance because without those HONEST assessments, it's...
Following an interesting year, I've carried over some protocols from 2022 that I wouldn't necessarily use in other markets. Primarily,...
[An excerpt from the Outlier Insights Weekly Newsletter, sign up for FREE] 3. Under the Microscope - Ownership Basic Investing & Trading...
I connected with Tom a few weeks ago to chat about options trading. He has a really interesting perspective and is a wildly successful...
If we fail to plan…you know how the saying goes. I experienced my largest loss several years into my trading career. I had be doing...
The goal of this post is to share some of my favorite trading resources without falling too far into the weeds. When I started trading...
The goal of this post is to orient new traders on a great current opportunity to dramatically grow their experience, despite markets...
What are Options? Options are interesting, because they seem insanely complex at first (and to some degree, they can be). But, after...
Hey everyone! The Outlier Trading Workshop will held 12Nov at 1pm PT via Zoom. To be added to the distro, fill out this GForm:...
This post is about an important change in my trading methodology and hopefully to give others some ideas to enhance theirs. One of the...
This week was productive - I’ve become a bit more aggressive over the past 2 months to make sure I hit my annual benchmark which I moved...
This post about about a mistake I made early on so that hopefully other new traders can get more data early like I wish I did. Like most...
I'm up just shy of 9.5% for the year. It's been slow for me for multiple reasons one of which, I'm transitioning from growth to lower...
To be abundantly clear, this post is purely to share some of my experience to hopefully give others ideas. I saw a couple posts with...
Picking stocks for the wheel
I went over the current rate probabilities on the weekly YoutTube live (every Monday at 5pm PT) and as of now it's looking like 83%...
Early in my trading, like most options traders, I became infatuated. I started trading ALL the time, lamenting the PDT rule, trying a...
Not all risk is created equal. Similarly, if you ask 5 investors what significant risk looks like, you'll get 5 different descriptions....